Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.032701 0.035637 0.038583 0.041755 0.045067 0.048419 0.052061
2026-02-08 0.027814 0.032163 0.036664 0.041646 0.046985 0.052516 0.058657
2026-02-15 0.025002 0.030458 0.036256 0.042822 0.050005 0.057578 0.066125
2026-02-22 0.022627 0.028931 0.035793 0.043723 0.052549 0.061993 0.072790
2026-03-01 0.020426 0.027365 0.035092 0.044188 0.054469 0.065612 0.078491
2026-03-08 0.018432 0.025850 0.034292 0.044401 0.055988 0.068691 0.083516
2026-03-15 0.017171 0.025076 0.034245 0.045384 0.058301 0.072592 0.089398
2026-03-22 0.015149 0.023230 0.032817 0.044659 0.058572 0.074123 0.092564
2026-03-29 0.013864 0.022196 0.032277 0.044905 0.059900 0.076802 0.096979
2026-04-05 0.012908 0.021507 0.032096 0.045528 0.061627 0.079902 0.101843
2026-04-12 0.011954 0.020751 0.031780 0.045942 0.063071 0.082648 0.106281
2026-04-19 0.010231 0.018851 0.029940 0.044421 0.062154 0.082607 0.107473
2026-04-26 0.009055 0.017640 0.028944 0.043930 0.062478 0.084036 0.110405
2026-05-03 0.008109 0.016687 0.028236 0.043764 0.063171 0.085887 0.113820
2026-05-10 0.007749 0.016560 0.028604 0.044948 0.065505 0.089676 0.119501
2026-05-17 0.007322 0.016299 0.028772 0.045862 0.067498 0.093055 0.124702
2026-05-24 0.006777 0.015819 0.028613 0.046334 0.068931 0.095758 0.129101
2026-05-31 0.006194 0.015231 0.028275 0.046550 0.070028 0.098045 0.133002
2026-06-07 0.005903 0.015091 0.028550 0.047558 0.072109 0.101512 0.138298
2026-06-14 0.005116 0.014064 0.027525 0.046814 0.071960 0.102267 0.140359
2026-06-21 0.004674 0.013587 0.027261 0.047065 0.073056 0.104519 0.144195
2026-06-28 0.004370 0.013324 0.027295 0.047705 0.074635 0.107354 0.148722
2026-07-05 0.004033 0.012973 0.027180 0.048130 0.075932 0.109838 0.152826